Can the Republicans Take the Senate? Not according to them!

I have been on the Republican mailing list for some time...so I get all sorts of crap. Including "I miss W" mug offers...if you can believe it!

Today I got an email fundraising to take the Senate. This email convinces me that the Republicans have ALREADY fumbled their chances to take the Senate. Let me show you. Here is the gist of the email:

The GOP must win six Democrat Senate seats to win a Republican Senate Majority.

Here are the top ten democrats who are the most vulnerable senators according to recent polls:

1.    Mark Pryor, Arkansas
2.    Mary Landrieu, Louisiana
3.    Kay Hagan, North Carolina
4.    Mark Begich, Alaska
5.    Mark Udall, Colorado
6.    Jeanne Shaheen, New Hampshire
7.    Al Franken, Minnesota
8.    Jeff Merkley, Oregon
9.    Mark Warner, Virginia
10.    Tom Udall, New Mexico

Sounds like they have a real shot, right? I mean they are claiming there are 10 vulnerable Dems and they only have to win 6 of those seats. Time to panic right?

Wrong. Time to do some real defense, perhaps, but their own analysis shows they have almost no chance of actually taking the Senate. Let me show you...